Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.