

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 25.95% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Chaves win is 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
| 25.95% ( | 24.99% ( | 49.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( | 49.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% ( | 71.93% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% ( | 33.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.57% ( | 70.42% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( | 20.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.2% ( | 52.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-1 @ 2.34% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 3-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.95% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
| R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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