

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 25.95% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Chaves win is 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 25.95% (  0.1) | 24.99% (  0.04) | 49.06% (  -0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 52.74% (  -0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.06% (  -0.09) | 49.94% (  0.09) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.07% (  -0.08) | 71.93% (  0.08) | 
| Chaves Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.23% (  0.03) | 33.76% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.57% (  0.04) | 70.42% (  -0.04) | 
| Famalicao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.62% (  -0.1) | 20.38% (  0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.2% (  -0.15) | 52.79% (  0.15) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Chaves | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 1-0 @ 7.47% (  0.03) 2-1 @ 6.45% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 4.06% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 2.34% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.47% (  0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.95% | 1-1 @ 11.88% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 6.88% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% (  -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% (  -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 10.94% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 9.45% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.71% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.01% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.62% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.99% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.84% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.06% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 | 
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 | 
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 | 
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 | 
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 | 
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 | 
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 | 
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 | 
| 14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 | 
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 | 
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 | 
| R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 | 
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