Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 39.41% | 27.21% | 33.38% | 
| Both teams to score 49.92% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.53% | 55.47% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.34% | 76.66% | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.51% | 27.49% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.02% | 62.98% | 
| Leeds United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.84% | 31.16% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.51% | 67.49% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.38% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 | 
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 | 
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 | 
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 48 | 
| 5 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 | 
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 | 
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 39 | 
| 8 | Fulham | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 39 | 
| 9 | Brentford | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 38 | 
| 10 | Chelsea | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 37 | 
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 27 | 
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 | 
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 26 | 
| 15 | Everton | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 25 | 
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 24 | 
| 17 | Bournemouth | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 24 | 
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 | 
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 23 | 
| 20 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
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