Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
