Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.
