Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris FC in this match.
