Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Pau had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
