Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
