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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Lincoln City

Wigan
1 - 1
Lincoln

Smith (36')
Smith (44'), McHugh (45+1'), Weir (51'), Tickle (77'), Sibbick (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (88')
Makama (20'), Collins (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Blackpool
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Lincoln City

While Wigan may view this contest as a must-not-lose, the visitors will see it as a must win. Taking that into consideration, we can see a low-scoring draw on the cards, the home side being far the happier as they edge away from the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawLincoln City
40.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 28.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.1% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)60.89% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.08% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)80.91% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.5% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)72.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 40.19%
    Lincoln City 31.21%
    Draw 28.57%
Wigan AthleticDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 10.89%
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Wigan vs Lincoln

Wigan Athletic
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Lincoln City
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Lincoln
0-0
Wigan
Jackson (45'), Darikwa (84')
Carragher (51')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Lincoln
1-2
Wigan
Mandroiu (40')
O'Connor (43'), House (50'), Hackett (51'), Mitchell (67'), Sessegnon (90+8'), Makama (90+9')
Smith (20'), Hughes (90')
Hughes (27'), Smith (42'), Godo (71'), Makama (90+9'), Roughan (90+8'), Magennis (90+9')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Wigan
0-0
Lincoln
Clare (74'), Sessegnon (80'), McManaman (85'), Morrison (90+3')
Mandroiu (43'), Hamilton (58'), O'Connor (66'), Duffy (90+7')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Lincoln
1-3
Wigan
Scully (14')
Cullen (38')
Lang (8', 72'), Keane (21')
Naylor (12'), Watts (54'), Kerr (56'), Darikwa (82')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Wigan
1-2
Lincoln
Massey (90+5')
Darikwa (18'), Watts (25'), Lang (30')
Nlundulu (14'), Eyoma (57')
Robson (30'), McGrandles (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham33237355223376
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe341910560322867
3Wrexham34198749282165
4Stockport CountyStockport351710852341861
5Charlton AthleticCharlton34178946311559
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield351771147321558
7Bolton WanderersBolton34176115550557
8Reading34159104844454
9Leyton Orient351651450351553
10Barnsley35157135048252
11Stevenage34138133234-247
12Lincoln CityLincoln351210134844446
13Blackpool34101594947245
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham34128143940-144
15Wigan AthleticWigan341010143134-340
16Mansfield TownMansfield34117164047-740
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough34108165159-838
18Northampton TownNorthampton35911153452-1838
19Exeter CityExeter33107163550-1537
20Bristol Rovers34106183553-1836
21Burton Albion35712163551-1633
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge3478193457-2329
23Crawley TownCrawley3478193764-2729
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3577213458-2428


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