Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.