Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.