FC Tokyo 1-2 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - April 24, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Apr 24, 2021 at 6am UK at Ajinomoto Stadium

Morishige (53')
Ogawa (5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sakai (18'), Higuchi (34')
Matsuoka (46')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
42.29%	27.1%	30.6%

Both teams to score 49.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.23%

55.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.1%

76.9%

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94%

26.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.9%

61.09%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75%

33.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.14%

69.85%

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 42.29%

Sagan Tosu 30.6%

Draw 27.09%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.29%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.6%