Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.