MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:18:28| >> :600:5890997:5890997:
Wolves logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Leeds logo
Wolves
1 - 0
Leeds
Traore (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Leeds United (Wolves to win on penalties)

Leeds are certainly leaving Wolves behind at the bottom of the Premier League table, but rotation on both ends could open this tie up for an exciting, end-to-end affair, especially with the hosts now improving on the attacking front. We would not be surprised to see this encounter end all square at Molineux, and with the vociferous home support behind them, Wolves can edge the penalty kicks to advance to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
40.83% (0.052 0.05) 24.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 34.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 57.62% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (0.23699999999999 0.24)45.68% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (0.227 0.23)68% (-0.221 -0.22)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.13 0.13)22.31% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (0.193 0.19)55.78% (-0.187 -0.19)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (0.117 0.12)25.84% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2% (0.157 0.16)60.8% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.83%
    Leeds United 34.24%
    Draw 24.93%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.24%

How you voted: Wolves vs Leeds

Wolverhampton Wanderers
51.0%
Leeds United
49.0%
51
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
Podence (6')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Wolves
2-3
Leeds
Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
Jimenez (53')
Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
Hee-chan (10')
Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Meslier (64' og.)
Neto (90+1')
Oct 19, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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