

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 45.97% (  -0.88) | 25.34% (  0.12) | 28.69% (  0.76) | 
| Both teams to score 53.76% (  0.15) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.41% (  -0.05) | 49.6% (  0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.38% (  -0.04) | 71.62% (  0.05) | 
| Crystal Palace Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.42% (  -0.41) | 21.58% (  0.41) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.33% (  -0.63) | 54.67% (  0.64) | 
| Leeds United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.56% (  0.55) | 31.44% (  -0.54) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.18% (  0.63) | 67.82% (  -0.62) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 1-0 @ 10.4% (  -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.23% (  -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.98% (  -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.72% (  -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.08% (  -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.73% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% (  -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.56% (  -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.05% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.03% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% (  0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% (  0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.85% (  0.13) 1-2 @ 6.96% (  0.14) 0-2 @ 4.54% (  0.14) 1-3 @ 2.69% (  0.09) 2-3 @ 2.06% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 1.75% (  0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.69% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 | 
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 | 
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 | 
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 | 
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 | 
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 | 
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 | 
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 | 
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 | 
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 | 
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 | 
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 | 
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 | 
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 | 
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 | 
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 | 
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