Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.