
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 29
Mar 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
SBV Excelsior4 - 0Den Bosch
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Den Bosch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: SBV Excelsior 3-0 Heracles
Wednesday, May 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Wednesday, May 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Next Game: Heracles vs. SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Den Bosch
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | De Graafschap | 37 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 37 | -19 | 46 |
| 11 | VVV-Venlo | 37 | -15 | 45 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 55.04%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 55.04% | 21.76% | 23.2% |
| Both teams to score 60.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.83% | 38.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.56% | 60.45% |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.14% | 13.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.74% | 41.26% |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% | 29.65% |

