Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 58.23%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 21.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong Ajax in this match.
