Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 56.42%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.17%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
