Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
