Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.
