Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
