Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
