Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colon in this match.
