Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12 | 2nd Leg
Jun 13, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Vasco da Gama

Sao Paulo
1 - 3
Vasco

Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva (90+3')
Luciano (33'), Arboleda (38'), Silva (45'), Dinenno (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rayan (26'), Moreira (40'), Vegetti (69')
Victor (60'), Moura (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, May 31 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-2 Bragantino
Sunday, June 1 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (8.26%).

Result
Sao PauloDrawVasco da Gama
50.06% (0.392 0.39)26.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.77% (-0.378 -0.38)
Both teams to score 47.22% (-0.333 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.86% (-0.243 -0.24)56.14% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.8% (-0.196 -0.2)77.2% (0.194 0.19)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (0.072000000000003 0.07)22.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.108 0.11)56.04% (-0.109 -0.11)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (-0.489 -0.49)39.08% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.21% (-0.46 -0.46)75.79% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 50.06%
    Vasco da Gama 23.77%
    Draw 26.16%
Sao PauloDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.133 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 50.06%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.79% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.77%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2024 1.45am
Gameweek 30
Sao Paulo
3-0
Vasco
Luciano (9'), Moura (46', 67')
Welington (65')
> Preview
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 11
Vasco
4-1
Sao Paulo
Franco (33' og.), Estrella de Paiva (45+3'), Viana da Silva Gama (80'), David (90+3')
Estrella de Paiva (39'), Maicon (77'), Rossi (88')
Silva (11')
Lanza (36')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 26
Vasco
0-0
Sao Paulo
Paulinho (37'), Diaz (38'), Pele (45'), Maicon (73'), Figueiredo (90+5')
Mendes (45+2')
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sao Paulo
4-2
Vasco
Calleri (24'), Nestor (42'), Beraldo (89'), Juan (90+2')
Barros (45'), Galarza (83')
Barros (35'), Figueiredo (49'), Jair (75'), Raul (83')
Nov 22, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Sao Paulo
1-1
Vasco
Luciano (34')
Brenner (28'), Hernanes (90')
Cano (19')
Jadson (4'), Pikachu (81'), Santos (90+2'), Andrey (90+7')