Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.