Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.