Chelmsford City 1-0 Oxford City - National League South - September 12, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sep 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at The Hawthorns

Olowu (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Oxford City.

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-4 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Worthing	7	7	15
4	Chelmsford City	7	5	14
5	Braintree Town	7	8	13

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Oxford City
35.25% ( 0.85)	26.23% ( 0.12)	38.53% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

-0.39)

51.22% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

-0.34)

73.05% (

0.35)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12% (

0.33)

27.88% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.51% (

0.42)

63.49% (

-0.42)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-0.71)

25.99% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

-0.96)

61% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 35.25%

Oxford City 38.53%

Draw 26.23%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.25%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.53%