Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Petrolero and Palmeiras.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.7%) and 1-2 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.81%), while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
