Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.