Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.