The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 42.86% | 27.24% | 29.89% |
| Both teams to score 48.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
