Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 39.09%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-2 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.84%), while for a Fluminense win it was 1-0 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
