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[monks data]
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Jul 24, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Columbus Crew
Atlanta
0 - 1
Columbus Crew
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mensah (65')
Hurtado (44'), Francis (90+2')

Preview: Atlanta United vs. Columbus Crew - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Atlanta United will go for their first victory under interim manager Rob Valentino when they host the Columbus Crew on Saturday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Five Stripes earned their second successive point away from home in a 1-1 draw with FC Cincinnati, while Columbus drew 0-0 at home to Nashville SC.


Match preview

Atlanta United players react after Philadelphia Union scored an an own goal on June 20, 2021© Reuters

It has been a messy season thus far for Atlanta, filled with infighting, bizarre tactical moves and the longest regular-season winless drought in club history, which currently stands at nine games.

In a weird way, that is not only the bad news, but it could also be the good news for Valentino and his team as you would think that things cannot get any worse.

That, however, remains to be seen, but they did put together a much better effort in his first match in charge, coming back to draw the Orange-and-Blue on Wednesday and firing nine shots on target, more than they have had in any game this year.

They will hope to regain their confidence at home after losing at Mercedes-Benz Stadium for the first time all season last Saturday, 1-0 to the New England Revolution, in what was ultimately the last game for Gabriel Heinze as coach.

Their next four fixtures are against sides above them in the Eastern Conference table, and they will be keen to start strong versus a Columbus team who have won the last three matches against them.

Columbus Crew forward Gyasi Zerdes celebrates his goal with teammates on June 20, 2021© Reuters

Slowly but surely, the reigning MLS Cup champions have climbed their way up the table with points in each of their last five fixtures, currently sitting in sixth with 21 points.

Against Nashville in midweek, Caleb Porter knows that his team had a great chance to come away with three points, as they dominated the second half, firing six shots on target and forcing Joe Willis into several spectacular saves.

This team have been terrific in front of their home fans, winning 19 of their last 22 fixtures, including the playoffs on home soil, but scoring has been hard to come by for them on the road, having gone goalless in five matches away from home this year.

Given the number of injuries and players missing because of international tournaments, for this team to be in a playoff position with only one loss in their last nine games is an accomplishment.

As more of their regulars return from the Gold Cup and the injured list, they know that they can climb the table quickly as only two points separate them from the Philadelphia Union, who are currently in second place.

Atlanta United Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D

Columbus Crew Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D



Team News

Atlanta United midfielder Jackson Conway (36) celebrates after scoring a goal against Club America in the second half during the 2020SCCL quarterfinals at Exploria Stadium in December 2020© Reuters

Once again, Atlanta will be missing goalkeeper Brad Guzan plus defenders George Bello and Miles Robinson, who remain with the US national team at the Gold Cup.

Emerson Hyndman is still out with a torn ACL, Franco Ibarra has a lower-body injury, Mo Adams will be missing with a left quad issue and Jurgen Damm has a lower-body injury.

Jackson Conway and Ronald Hernandez cracked the starting 11 for the first time this year against Cincy, with Hernandez notching his first career MLS goal, while goalkeeper Alec Kann made five saves and Machop Chol recorded his first career MLS assist.

Columbus keeper Eloy Room only had to make one stop on Wednesday to earn his fourth shutout of the season and his first since a 0-0 draw versus Austin FC on June 27.

Derrick Etienne returned from international duty with Haiti at the Gold Cup earlier this week, as did Trinidad and Tobago striker Kevin Molino, who came on as a substitute.

Gyasi Zardes and Liam Fraser remain unavailable as they are with the US and Canadian national teams for the Gold Cup.

Aidan Morris has a left knee injury, Artur has a right hip problem, Milton Valenzuela and Vito Wormgoor have right thigh issues and Josh Williams is questionable with a left ankle injury.

Atlanta United possible starting lineup:
Kann; Hernandez, DeJohn, Ambrose, Lennon; Sosa, Rossetto, Mulraney; Chol, Conway, Martinez

Columbus Crew possible starting lineup:
Room; Afful, Jonathan, Lillard, Abdul-Salaam; Hairston, Kitchen, Etienne; Zelarayan, Santos, Wright-Phillips


SM words green background

We say: Atlanta United 0-1 Columbus Crew

Fixing everything that is broken in the Atlanta camp will take some doing, and even though they earned a point on Wednesday, they still look lost in the final third.

The Crew are starting to get some key players back into the fold, and they have improved their play away from home with points in three of their last four games.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


ID:456569:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11795:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Atlanta vs Columbus Crew

Atlanta United
28.2%
Draw
15.4%
Columbus Crew
56.4%
39
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New England Revolution forward Gustavo Bou celebrates scoring with teammates on June 28, 2021
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati33208555371868
2Orlando City33179753391460
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia331510856391755
4Columbus Crew33159965452054
5New England RevolutionNew England321410854421252
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta331311964511350
7Nashville SCNashville321210103629746
8CF MontrealMontreal33125163550-1541
9DC United341010144549-440
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls331010133539-440
11Chicago Fire331010133950-1140
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC32912114250-839
13New York City FCNY City33814113439-538
14Inter MiamiInter Miami3296173951-1233
15Toronto33410192657-3122

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City331751162431956
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles331491053381551
3Seattle SoundersSeattle33131193932750
4Houston DynamoHouston331391148371148
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver331211105447747
6Real Salt LakeSalt Lake32137124548-346
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes331013103842-443
8Portland TimbersPortland331110124555-1043
9Dallas321012103635142
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd331011124548-341
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas33118144550-541
12Austin FCAustin33108154854-638
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy32811134861-1335
14Colorado RapidsColorado32511162552-2726

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