Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Union had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Union win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
