Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Monday, July 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
We said: Defensa y Justicia 2-0 Aldosivi
Although neither side have been particularly sharp in this phase of the competition, Halcon are generally more consistent while possessing more quality in all three aspects of the game, whereas Aldosivi look disorganised and out of sorts away from home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Aldosivi |
60.98% ( 0.64) | 23.16% ( 0.01) | 15.86% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 43.82% ( -1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
