Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 80.3%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 6.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.89%) and 1-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.01%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for China in this match.
