MX23RW : Monday, May 19 08:41:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 4, 2025 at 2.15pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
0 - 1
Chelsea


Hunt (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Macario (35' pen.)
Kaptein (60'), Nusken (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Tottenham Hotspur Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, April 27 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, April 30 at 8.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Tottenham Hotspur Women 1-3 Chelsea Women

While Bompastor is set to name an unchanged side for Sunday's fixture, we still believe that the Chelsea squad possess enough depth in quality to claim a relatively comfortable victory against Tottenham, especially as the hosts will be low on confidence following a eight-game winless league run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 69.64%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Women had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-3 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Women win it was 2-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur WomenDrawChelsea Women
13.4% (0.302 0.3) 16.96% (0.127 0.13) 69.64% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)
Both teams to score 58.32% (0.445 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.92% (0.13800000000001 0.14)32.07% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.34% (0.161 0.16)53.65% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Tottenham Hotspur Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.525 0.52)36.4% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.524 0.52)73.19% (-0.52799999999999 -0.53)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.71% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)8.29% (0.055099999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.06% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)28.94% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur Women 13.4%
    Chelsea Women 69.64%
    Draw 16.96%
Tottenham Hotspur WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 3.84% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.05% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.54% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.29% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 13.4%
1-1 @ 7.6% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 16.96%
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.36% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 7.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.77% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.83% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.47% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.23% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 69.64%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 5
Chelsea
5-2
Spurs
Hamano (9'), Nilden (44' og.), Rytting-Kaneryd (70', 90+1'), Baltimore (74')
Baltimore (18'), Hampton (21'), Buchanan (83')
Nilden (21'), Summanen (84')
Hunt (29'), Spence (76'), Thomas (83')
May 15, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 18
Spurs
0-1
Chelsea
Hamano (37')
Carter (90+4')
Oct 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Chelsea Women
2-1
Spurs Ladies
Fishel (28'), James (51')
Thomas (76')
Spence (30')
Feb 5, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Spurs Ladies
2-3
Chelsea Women
England (16'), Karczewska (88')
Carter (8'), James (27'), Reiten (64')
Nov 20, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 8
Chelsea Women
3-0
Spurs Ladies
Kerr (12'), Cuthbert (26'), Reiten (36' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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