Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
