Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 41.73%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
