Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 35.15%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.07%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (12.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Eibar in this match.
