Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Burgos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Malaga
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Sporting Gijon | 41 | -4 | 46 |
| 18 | Malaga | 41 | -20 | 45 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | -18 | 40 |
Last Game: Burgos 0-0 Girona
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Real Zaragoza | 41 | -7 | 55 |
| 11 | Burgos | 41 | 0 | 54 |
| 12 | Leganes | 41 | -1 | 53 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Burgos |
| 44.35% ( | 27.91% | 27.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.2% ( | 59.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.91% ( | 80.09% ( |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( | 26.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.85% ( | 62.15% ( |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.38% ( | 37.62% ( |

