

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock | 
| 48.84% (  -0.02) | 26.01% (  0) | 25.15% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 48.96% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.45% (  -0.02) | 54.55% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.1% (  -0.01) | 75.9% (  0.01) | 
| Livingston Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.64% (  -0.02) | 22.36% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.14% (  -0.02) | 55.86% (  0.02) | 
| Kilmarnock Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.06% (  -0) | 36.94% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.27% (  -0) | 73.73% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock | 
| 1-0 @ 12.37% 2-0 @ 9.27% (  -0) 2-1 @ 9.23% (  -0) 3-0 @ 4.63% (  -0) 3-1 @ 4.61% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.29% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.73% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.73% (  -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 12.32% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% (  0) 2-2 @ 4.59% (  -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.23% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 6.14% (  0) 0-2 @ 4.1% (  0) 1-3 @ 2.04% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.36% (  0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.15% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 | 
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 | 
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 | 
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 | 
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 | 
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 | 
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 | 
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 | 
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 | 
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 | 
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 | 
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 | 
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