Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.55%) and 3-2 (5.49%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.