Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
