Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
