Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
