Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Everton win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 23.51% and a draw has a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.06%).
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Southampton |
| 54.45% ( | 22.03% ( | 23.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( | 39.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% ( | 61.44% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( | 14.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.75% ( | 42.25% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( | 29.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.97% ( | 66.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 5-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 23.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 83 | 37 | 46 | 83 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 66 | 33 | 33 | 68 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 68 | 45 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 65 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 63 |
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 62 |
| 8 | Brentford | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 55 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 59 | 56 | 3 | 55 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 53 |
| 11 | Fulham | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 51 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 41 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 40 |
| 16 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 39 |
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 38 |
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 35 | 77 | -42 | 22 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 78 | -47 | 22 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 82 | -57 | 12 |
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