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League One | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Peterborough United

Rotherham
2 - 1
Peterborough

Nombe (36'), Humphreys (66')
Wilks (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Odoh (1')
De Havilland (17'), Odoh (28'), Dornelly (63'), Nevett (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Rotherham
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 4-2 Peterborough
Wednesday, April 30 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 2-2 Peterborough United

With 19 goals scored in Peterborough's last four away games - averaging 4.75 in recent matches against Reading (3-1 defeat), Crawley Town (4-3 win), Barnsley (1-1 draw) and Mansfield (4-2 defeat) - and Rotherham's recent home games witnessing 18 goals (mean of 4.5) from losses to Wycombe Wanderers (3-2) and Crawley (4-0), a win over Blackpool (2-1) and a 3-3 draw with Mansfield, another goal-heavy encounter could unfold this weekend. Given the hosts' inability to achieve a consistent run of positive results in front of their supporters and the same for Peterborough on their travels, Saturday's match could end in a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rotherham United in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawPeterborough United
46.24% (0.5 0.5) 22.86% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 30.9% (-0.418 -0.42)
Both teams to score 63.73% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9% (0.192 0.19)37.09% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.71% (0.207 0.21)59.29% (-0.209 -0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.26300000000001 0.26)16.48% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.473 0.47)46.19% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)23.69% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (-0.222 -0.22)57.8% (0.221 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 46.24%
    Peterborough United 30.9%
    Draw 22.86%
Rotherham UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.9%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Peterborough

Rotherham United
40.0%
Draw
60.0%
Peterborough United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-3
Rotherham
Dornelly (17'), Rafferty (51' og.), Fernandez (53')
Wallin (22'), Dornelly (32'), Randall (48')
Nombe (19'), Wilks (23'), Clarke-Harris (45+1')
Evans (23'), Wilks (35')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 29
Peterborough
2-1
Rotherham
Toney (2'), Szmodics (22')
Szmodics (64')
Ihiekwe (35')
Wiles (49')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
4-0
Peterborough
Wood (50'), Butler (68' og.), Ward (77' og.), Vassell (92')
Mattock (73')

Kent (47'), Toney (78')
Kent (54')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Peterborough
2-1
Rotherham
Marriott (47', 75')
Maddison (62')
Moore (55')
Newell (83'), Mattock (87'), Moore (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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