Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
